Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsNL Industries Inc (NL)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
NL
NL Industries Inc
$6.06
+1.17%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $293.39M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1623% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $158.58M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs -21.5%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
NL
Hold42
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+66.9%
Fair Value
$47.81
Current Price
$25.31
$22.50 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NL.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 551.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
0.7% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -8.0% — below average capital efficiency
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NL
The strongest argument for NL centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : NL
The primary concerns for NL are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while NL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.83 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 42/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →NL Industries Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
NL Industries, Inc., through its subsidiary, CompX International Inc., operates in the component products industry in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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