Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsLockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$31.49
+0.35%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.29B
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
$524.19
-1.12%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $120.98B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Lockheed Martin Corporation generates 2624% more annual revenue ($77.01B vs $2.83B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs 8.2%. LMT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.01. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy71
out of 100
Grade: B
LMT
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+68.0%
Fair Value
$49.41
Current Price
$31.49
$17.92 discount
Margin of Safety
-48.6%
Fair Value
$352.84
Current Price
$524.19
$171.35 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Every $100 of equity generates 72 in profit
Earnings expanding 443.8% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Generating 2.9B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Trading at 13.8x book value
Weak financial health signals
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : LMT
The strongest argument for LMT centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 10.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.01 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : LMT
The primary concerns for LMT are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.34 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while LMT is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.78 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.
LMT generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (71/100 vs 69/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Lockheed Martin Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA
Lockheed Martin Corporation is an American aerospace, defense, information security, and technology company with worldwide interests. It is headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland, in the Washington, D.C., area.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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