Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsIllinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$18.51
-2.32%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.51B
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc
$258.01
-2.88%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $74.36B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Illinois Tool Works Inc generates 510% more annual revenue ($16.04B vs $2.63B). ITW leads profitability with a 19.1% profit margin vs 9.7%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
ITW
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+70.8%
Fair Value
$54.26
Current Price
$18.51
$35.75 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for ITW.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Every $100 of equity generates 94 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Strong operational efficiency at 26.8%
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
4.1% revenue growth
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 23.1x book value
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ITW
The strongest argument for ITW centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.1% and operating margin at 26.8%.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : ITW
The primary concerns for ITW are Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while ITW is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
ITW carries more volatility with a beta of 1.15 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
ITW generates stronger free cash flow (858M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 58/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Illinois Tool Works Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SPECIALTY INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY · USA
Illinois Tool Works Inc. or ITW is an American company that produces engineered fasteners and components, equipment and consumable systems, and specialty products.
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