Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsHowmet Aerospace Inc (HWM)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$18.51
-2.32%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.51B
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc
$243.04
+2.76%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $94.83B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Howmet Aerospace Inc generates 214% more annual revenue ($8.25B vs $2.63B). HWM leads profitability with a 18.3% profit margin vs 9.7%. HWM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.80. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
HWM
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+70.9%
Fair Value
$54.42
Current Price
$18.51
$35.91 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for HWM.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Growing faster than its price suggests
Strong operational efficiency at 26.3%
Earnings expanding 20.3% YoY
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Trading at 18.2x book value
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : HWM
The strongest argument for HWM centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.3% and operating margin at 26.3%. Revenue growth of 14.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : HWM
The primary concerns for HWM are Price/Book, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 63.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while HWM is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
HWM carries more volatility with a beta of 1.24 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
HWM generates stronger free cash flow (530M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 69/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Howmet Aerospace Inc
INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA
Howmet Aerospace Inc. is an American aerospace company based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The company manufactures components for jet engines, fasteners and titanium structures for aerospace applications, and forged aluminum wheels for heavy trucks.
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