WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsStarbucks Corporation (SBUX)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Starbucks Corporation generates 217% more annual revenue ($38.47B vs $12.14B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.0% profit margin vs 3.9%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.77. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

CMG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

SBUX

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.07
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CMG.

SBUXUndervalued (+26.7%)

Margin of Safety

+26.7%

Fair Value

$135.29

Current Price

$104.97

$30.32 discount

UndervaluedFair: $135.29Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
49.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 49 in profit

SBUX2 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Market CapQuality
$119.63B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
32.6%8/10

Earnings expanding 32.6% YoY

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.774/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
30.3x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
17.3x4/10

Trading at 17.3x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.9%2/10

Earnings declined 17.9%

SBUX4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.784/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
0.0%3/10

ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

3.9% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : SBUX

The strongest argument for SBUX centers on Market Cap, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : SBUX

The primary concerns for SBUX are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 80.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.

SBUX is growing revenue faster at 8.8% — sustainability is the question.

CMG generates stronger free cash flow (471M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 49/100). SBUX offers better value entry with a 26.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Starbucks Corporation

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Starbucks Corporation is an American multinational chain of coffeehouses and roastery reserves headquartered in Seattle, Washington. As the world's largest coffeehouse chain, Starbucks is seen to be the main representation of the United States' second wave of coffee culture.

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