Forward Air Corporation (FWRD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
$16.61
+2.47%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $488.14M
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$98.37
-0.07%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $83.64B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 3453% more annual revenue ($88.66B vs $2.50B). UPS leads profitability with a 6.3% profit margin vs -4.3%. FWRD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.66. UPS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
FWRD
Hold50
out of 100
Grade: D+
UPS
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for FWRD.
Margin of Safety
-29.2%
Fair Value
$92.89
Current Price
$98.37
$5.48 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 145.0% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 2.6B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 3.6%
ROE of -63.3% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 0.3%
4.6% earnings growth
6.3% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FWRD
The strongest argument for FWRD centers on EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.66 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.47 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : FWRD
The primary concerns for FWRD are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 15.43 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are EPS Growth, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.99 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FWRD profiles as a turnaround stock while UPS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.34 — expect wider price swings.
FWRD is growing revenue faster at -0.3% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (2.6B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
UPS scores higher overall (56/100 vs 50/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forward Air Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Forward Air Corporation is a light freight logistics and transportation company in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.
Visit Website →United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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