Forward Air Corporation (FWRD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
$9.67
-5.20%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $327.63M
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$108.54
-1.52%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $92.59B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 3484% more annual revenue ($88.32B vs $2.46B). UPS leads profitability with a 5.9% profit margin vs -3.7%. FWRD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.66. FWRD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 50/100 (D+).
FWRD
Hold50
out of 100
Grade: D+
UPS
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for FWRD.
Margin of Safety
+15.7%
Fair Value
$142.42
Current Price
$108.54
$33.88 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 145.0% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 4.0%
ROE of -112.9% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 5.1%
Expensive relative to growth rate
5.9% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FWRD
The strongest argument for FWRD centers on EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.66 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, P/E Ratio.
Bear Case : FWRD
The primary concerns for FWRD are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 26.55 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.59 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FWRD profiles as a turnaround stock while UPS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.42 — expect wider price swings.
UPS is growing revenue faster at -1.6% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
FWRD scores higher overall (50/100 vs 49/100). UPS offers better value entry with a 15.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forward Air Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Forward Air Corporation is a light freight logistics and transportation company in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.
Visit Website →United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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