Forward Air Corporation (FWRD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
$16.63
+1.28%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $553.33M
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$100.28
+0.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $85.32B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 3471% more annual revenue ($89.93B vs $2.52B). UPS leads profitability with a 5.1% profit margin vs -11.4%. FWRD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.66. UPS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).
FWRD
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
UPS
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for FWRD.
Margin of Safety
+16.1%
Fair Value
$143.12
Current Price
$100.28
$42.84 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 145.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -112.9% — below average capital efficiency
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
5.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 53.0%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FWRD
The strongest argument for FWRD centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.66 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 1.42 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : FWRD
The primary concerns for FWRD are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.90 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FWRD profiles as a turnaround stock while UPS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.36 — expect wider price swings.
FWRD is growing revenue faster at 8.8% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
UPS scores higher overall (57/100 vs 52/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forward Air Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Forward Air Corporation is a light freight logistics and transportation company in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.
Visit Website →United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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