WallStSmart

FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsForward Air Corporation (FWRD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

FedEx Corporation generates 3585% more annual revenue ($91.93B vs $2.50B). FDX leads profitability with a 4.9% profit margin vs -4.3%. FWRD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.66. FDX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).

FDX

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.22

FWRD

Hold

50

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 3.0Value: 6.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.87
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FDXSignificantly Overvalued (-188.4%)

Margin of Safety

-188.4%

Fair Value

$127.30

Current Price

$357.52

$230.22 premium

UndervaluedFair: $127.30Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for FWRD.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FDX3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$85.89B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.04B8/10

Generating 1.0B in free cash flow

FWRD2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
145.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 145.0% YoY

PEG RatioValuation
0.668/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

FDX4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.9%3/10

4.9% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.343/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-13.3%2/10

Earnings declined 13.3%

FWRD4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$488.14M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

Operating margin of 3.6%

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.3%2/10

ROE of -63.3% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.3%2/10

Revenue declined 0.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FDX

The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 13.9% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.31 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : FWRD

The strongest argument for FWRD centers on EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.66 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : FDX

The primary concerns for FDX are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 4.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : FWRD

The primary concerns for FWRD are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 15.43 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FDX profiles as a value stock while FWRD is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

FWRD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.34 — expect wider price swings.

FDX is growing revenue faster at 13.9% — sustainability is the question.

FDX generates stronger free cash flow (1.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

FDX scores higher overall (59/100 vs 50/100) and 13.9% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

FedEx Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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Forward Air Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

Forward Air Corporation is a light freight logistics and transportation company in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.

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