WallStSmart

FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsForward Air Corporation (FWRD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

FedEx Corporation generates 3662% more annual revenue ($94.72B vs $2.52B). FDX leads profitability with a 4.7% profit margin vs -11.4%. FWRD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.66. FDX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).

FDX

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 5.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.20

FWRD

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 6.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.80
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FDXSignificantly Overvalued (-29.7%)

Margin of Safety

-29.7%

Fair Value

$283.12

Current Price

$311.99

$28.87 premium

UndervaluedFair: $283.12Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for FWRD.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FDX4 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$73.84B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
16.8x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.79B8/10

Generating 1.8B in free cash flow

FWRD3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
145.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 145.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-18.2810/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.668/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

FDX3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.7%3/10

4.7% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.363/10

Elevated debt levels

EPS GrowthGrowth
-4.3%2/10

Earnings declined 4.3%

FWRD4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$553.33M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-112.9%2/10

ROE of -112.9% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-8.10M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.802/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FDX

The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 12.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.32 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : FWRD

The strongest argument for FWRD centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.66 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : FDX

The primary concerns for FDX are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, EPS Growth. Thin 4.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : FWRD

The primary concerns for FWRD are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FDX profiles as a value stock while FWRD is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

FDX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.36 — expect wider price swings.

FDX is growing revenue faster at 12.5% — sustainability is the question.

FDX generates stronger free cash flow (1.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

FDX scores higher overall (59/100 vs 52/100) and 12.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

FedEx Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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Forward Air Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

Forward Air Corporation is a light freight logistics and transportation company in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.

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