Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc (EVLV)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
$5.93
+4.04%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.06B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1704% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $145.91M). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs -22.7%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
EVLV
Hold39
out of 100
Grade: F
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for EVLV.
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 32.3% year-over-year
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Trading at 8.7x book value
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EVLV
The strongest argument for EVLV centers on Revenue Growth, Operating Margin. Revenue growth of 32.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : EVLV
The primary concerns for EVLV are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Market Cap.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EVLV profiles as a hypergrowth stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
EVLV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.91 — expect wider price swings.
EVLV is growing revenue faster at 32.3% — sustainability is the question.
EVLV generates stronger free cash flow (9M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 39/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides AI-based contactless security screening systems. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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