Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc (EVLV)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
$4.79
-2.24%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $883.17M
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$31.22
-2.32%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.18B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1549% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $171.44M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs -3.0%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
EVLV
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
GEO
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+83.0%
Fair Value
$33.62
Current Price
$4.79
$28.83 discount
Margin of Safety
+68.0%
Fair Value
$49.41
Current Price
$31.22
$18.19 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 34.4% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -4.4% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EVLV
The strongest argument for EVLV centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 34.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.41 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : EVLV
The primary concerns for EVLV are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EVLV profiles as a hypergrowth stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
EVLV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.80 — expect wider price swings.
EVLV is growing revenue faster at 34.4% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 31/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. EVLV offers better value entry with a 83.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides AI-based contactless security screening systems. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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