WallStSmart

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsExpand Energy Corporation (EXE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 198% more annual revenue ($38.63B vs $12.96B). CNQ leads profitability with a 25.1% profit margin vs 24.9%. CNQ appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.42. EXE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).

CNQ

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.05

EXE

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.5Value: 5.3Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.09
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNQUndervalued (+50.8%)

Margin of Safety

+50.8%

Fair Value

$83.51

Current Price

$41.79

$41.72 discount

UndervaluedFair: $83.51Overvalued
EXEOvervalued (-12.5%)

Margin of Safety

-12.5%

Fair Value

$77.29

Current Price

$88.73

$11.44 premium

UndervaluedFair: $77.29Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNQ6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
30.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Market CapQuality
$91.79B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
25.1%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

EXE6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
6.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
34.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 34.0%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
41.0%10/10

Revenue surging 41.0% year-over-year

Profit MarginProfitability
24.9%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.269/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Revenue declined 1.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.3%2/10

Earnings declined 45.3%

EXE2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

PEG RatioValuation
20.662/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.1% and operating margin at 21.8%.

Bull Case : EXE

The strongest argument for EXE centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.9% and operating margin at 34.0%. Revenue growth of 41.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : EXE

The primary concerns for EXE are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNQ profiles as a declining stock while EXE is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.88 — expect wider price swings.

EXE is growing revenue faster at 41.0% — sustainability is the question.

EXE generates stronger free cash flow (1.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

EXE scores higher overall (75/100 vs 58/100), backed by strong 24.9% margins and 41.0% revenue growth. CNQ offers better value entry with a 50.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Expand Energy Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?