WallStSmart

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)vsWoodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Woodside Energy Group Ltd generates 12% more annual revenue ($12.98B vs $11.64B). WDS leads profitability with a 20.9% profit margin vs 15.6%. WDS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.33. EXE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

EXE

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.04

WDS

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.37
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EXESignificantly Overvalued (-100.9%)

Margin of Safety

-100.9%

Fair Value

$51.48

Current Price

$113.92

$62.44 premium

UndervaluedFair: $51.48Overvalued
WDSSignificantly Overvalued (-94.1%)

Margin of Safety

-94.1%

Fair Value

$9.66

Current Price

$23.66

$14.00 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.66Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EXE5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.3%10/10

Revenue surging 38.3% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
14.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
27.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.5%

WDS3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
20.9%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

EXE2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

PEG RatioValuation
8.972/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

WDS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-11.1%2/10

Revenue declined 11.1%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-14.4%2/10

Earnings declined 14.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EXE

The strongest argument for EXE centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.6% and operating margin at 27.5%. Revenue growth of 38.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : WDS

The strongest argument for WDS centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.9% and operating margin at 19.1%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : EXE

The primary concerns for EXE are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : WDS

The primary concerns for WDS are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

EXE profiles as a growth stock while WDS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

EXE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.47 — expect wider price swings.

EXE is growing revenue faster at 38.3% — sustainability is the question.

WDS generates stronger free cash flow (417M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

EXE scores higher overall (67/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 15.6% margins and 38.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Expand Energy Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Woodside Energy Group Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing and sale of hydrocarbons in Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa and internationally. The company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

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