WallStSmart

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)vsDiamondback Energy Inc (FANG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Diamondback Energy Inc generates 29% more annual revenue ($16.37B vs $12.66B). EXE leads profitability with a 22.0% profit margin vs 9.0%. EXE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.56. FANG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

EXE

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.09

FANG

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 9.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.28
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EXESignificantly Overvalued (-21.3%)

Margin of Safety

-21.3%

Fair Value

$77.55

Current Price

$92.84

$15.29 premium

UndervaluedFair: $77.55Overvalued
FANGUndervalued (+47.5%)

Margin of Safety

+47.5%

Fair Value

$321.84

Current Price

$188.04

$133.80 discount

UndervaluedFair: $321.84Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EXE6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
22.0%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.269/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Operating MarginProfitability
26.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.70B8/10

Generating 1.7B in free cash flow

FANG5 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
46.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 46.1%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
59.1%10/10

Revenue surging 59.1% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
179.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 179.5% YoY

Market CapQuality
$53.98B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

EXE3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.562/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-10.6%2/10

Revenue declined 10.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.5%2/10

Earnings declined 45.5%

FANG4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
1.1%3/10

ROE of 1.1% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
56.782/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
204.1x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EXE

The strongest argument for EXE centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.0% and operating margin at 26.3%.

Bull Case : FANG

The strongest argument for FANG centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 59.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : EXE

The primary concerns for EXE are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : FANG

The primary concerns for FANG are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. A P/E of 204.1x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

EXE profiles as a declining stock while FANG is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

FANG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.42 — expect wider price swings.

FANG is growing revenue faster at 59.1% — sustainability is the question.

EXE generates stronger free cash flow (1.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

FANG scores higher overall (69/100 vs 61/100) and 59.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Expand Energy Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Diamondback Energy Inc

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Diamondback Energy is a company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and headquartered in Midland, Texas.

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