WallStSmart

CompX International Inc (CIX)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Geo Group Inc generates 1623% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $158.58M). CIX leads profitability with a 12.7% profit margin vs 10.0%. GEO trades at a lower P/E of 14.4x. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

CIX

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 5.0Quality: 9.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 7.63

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CIXSignificantly Overvalued (-63.4%)

Margin of Safety

-63.4%

Fair Value

$15.01

Current Price

$24.24

$9.23 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.01Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+66.9%)

Margin of Safety

+66.9%

Fair Value

$47.81

Current Price

$25.31

$22.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.81Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CIX4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
7.6310/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
14.8x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

CIX3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.7%4/10

0.7% revenue growth

Market CapQuality
$298.10M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.56M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.884/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CIX

The strongest argument for CIX centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CIX

The primary concerns for CIX are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CIX profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CIX carries more volatility with a beta of 0.92 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 46/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CompX International Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells safety products and marine recreational components primarily in North America. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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