CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsOrigin Agritech Ltd (SEED)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$128.11
+0.94%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $19.69B
SEED
Origin Agritech Ltd
$1.24
+9.73%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $13.22M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 7660% more annual revenue ($7.08B vs $91.29M). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs -58.4%. SEED appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.62. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
CF
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
SEED
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$419.80
Current Price
$128.11
$291.69 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for SEED.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -3.7% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 11.2%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SEED
The strongest argument for SEED centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : SEED
The primary concerns for SEED are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while SEED is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
SEED carries more volatility with a beta of 1.86 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 22.8% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (313M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →Origin Agritech Ltd
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · China
Origin Agritech Limited, operates an agricultural biotechnology and e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China.
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