Origin Agritech Ltd (SEED)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
SEED
Origin Agritech Ltd
$1.05
-0.48%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $12.73M
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$56.47
+0.55%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.31B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company generates 5009% more annual revenue ($3.48B vs $68.18M). SMG leads profitability with a 2.1% profit margin vs -61.8%. SEED appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.62. SMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).
SEED
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
SMG
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+78.7%
Fair Value
$5.22
Current Price
$1.04
$4.17 discount
Margin of Safety
-17.4%
Fair Value
$57.24
Current Price
$56.47
$0.77 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -372.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 31.9%
1.1% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
2.1% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : SEED
The strongest argument for SEED centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.81 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : SEED
The primary concerns for SEED are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
SEED profiles as a turnaround stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.81 — expect wider price swings.
SMG is growing revenue faster at 1.1% — sustainability is the question.
SMG generates stronger free cash flow (307M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SMG scores higher overall (48/100 vs 31/100). SEED offers better value entry with a 78.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Origin Agritech Ltd
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · China
Origin Agritech Limited, operates an agricultural biotechnology and e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
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