CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsLyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$126.78
+3.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $19.48B
LYB
LyondellBasell Industries NV
$73.29
+2.53%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $23.66B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
LyondellBasell Industries NV generates 326% more annual revenue ($30.15B vs $7.08B). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs -2.5%. LYB appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.53. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
CF
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
LYB
Hold40
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+57.5%
Fair Value
$228.09
Current Price
$126.78
$101.31 discount
Margin of Safety
+33.7%
Fair Value
$89.68
Current Price
$73.29
$16.39 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 9.2%
Earnings declined 87.7%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : LYB
The strongest argument for LYB centers on Price/Book.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : LYB
The primary concerns for LYB are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while LYB is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
CF carries more volatility with a beta of 0.52 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 22.8% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (313M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 40/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. LYB offers better value entry with a 33.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →LyondellBasell Industries NV
BASIC MATERIALS · SPECIALTY CHEMICALS · USA
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) is a Dutch-domiciled multinational chemical company with American and British roots, incorporated in the Netherlands, with U.S. operations headquarters in Houston, Texas, and offices in London, UK. The company is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies. It also produces ethylene, propylene, polyolefins, and oxyfuels.
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