WallStSmart

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

LyondellBasell Industries NV generates 787% more annual revenue ($30.15B vs $3.40B). SMG leads profitability with a 2.6% profit margin vs -2.5%. SMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.77. SMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 43/100 (D).

LYB

Hold

40

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.5Value: 6.3Quality: 5.0

SMG

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 3.3Profit: 4.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.90
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LYBUndervalued (+33.7%)

Margin of Safety

+33.7%

Fair Value

$89.68

Current Price

$73.29

$16.39 discount

UndervaluedFair: $89.68Overvalued
SMGUndervalued (+14.9%)

Margin of Safety

+14.9%

Fair Value

$78.94

Current Price

$62.42

$16.52 discount

UndervaluedFair: $78.94Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LYB1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SMG3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Debt/EquityHealth
-5.0510/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.778/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
17.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

LYB4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.534/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-7.0%2/10

ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.2%2/10

Revenue declined 9.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-87.7%2/10

Earnings declined 87.7%

SMG4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.904/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.6%3/10

2.6% margin — thin

Return on EquityProfitability
-47.6%2/10

ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.3%2/10

Revenue declined 3.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LYB

The strongest argument for LYB centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : SMG

The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.77 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : LYB

The primary concerns for LYB are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : SMG

The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LYB profiles as a turnaround stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.

SMG is growing revenue faster at -3.3% — sustainability is the question.

LYB generates stronger free cash flow (79M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

SMG scores higher overall (43/100 vs 40/100). LYB offers better value entry with a 33.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

LyondellBasell Industries NV

BASIC MATERIALS · SPECIALTY CHEMICALS · USA

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) is a Dutch-domiciled multinational chemical company with American and British roots, incorporated in the Netherlands, with U.S. operations headquarters in Houston, Texas, and offices in London, UK. The company is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies. It also produces ethylene, propylene, polyolefins, and oxyfuels.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

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