Alcoa Corp (AA)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$39.54
+2.92%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.61B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$35.41
+4.95%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $7.31B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Alcoa Corp generates 3338% more annual revenue ($14.31B vs $416.25M). AA leads profitability with a 10.7% profit margin vs -14.6%. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).
AA
Strong Buy78
out of 100
Grade: B+
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-39.9%
Fair Value
$28.52
Current Price
$39.54
$11.02 premium
Margin of Safety
+5.0%
Fair Value
$43.82
Current Price
$35.41
$8.41 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 105.7% YoY
Revenue surging 23.7% year-over-year
Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 23.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AA profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.99 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.
AA generates stronger free cash flow (472M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
AA scores higher overall (78/100 vs 30/100) and 23.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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