Alcoa Corp (AA)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$58.70
+3.56%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $14.96B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$53.74
+0.84%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.47B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Alcoa Corp generates 4558% more annual revenue ($12.83B vs $275.46M). AA leads profitability with a 9.0% profit margin vs -31.2%. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
AA
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
MP
Avoid29
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+15.2%
Fair Value
$74.46
Current Price
$58.70
$15.76 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 1.1%
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AA profiles as a value stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.78 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
AA generates stronger free cash flow (162M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
AA scores higher overall (53/100 vs 29/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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