Alcoa Corp (AA)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$55.08
-5.03%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $18.15B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$58.92
-4.07%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Alcoa Corp generates 3541% more annual revenue ($12.65B vs $347.57M). AA leads profitability with a 8.2% profit margin vs -20.5%. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 49/100 (D+).
AA
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for AA.
Margin of Safety
-64.3%
Fair Value
$37.06
Current Price
$58.92
$21.86 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 5.2%
Earnings declined 22.7%
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AA profiles as a value stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
MP generates stronger free cash flow (-79M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
AA scores higher overall (49/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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