AA
Alcoa Corp
NYSE: AA · BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM
$50.17
+5.67% today
Updated 2026-08-07
Market cap
$11.94B
P/E ratio
9.41
P/S ratio
0.88x
EPS (TTM)
$4.81
Dividend yield
0.44%
52W range
$28 – $84
Volume
5.8M
WallStSmart proprietary scores
76
out of 100
Grade: B+
Buy
Investment rating
8.0
Growth
A6.5
Quality
B7.0
Profitability
B+4.7
Valuation
C4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Moderate
1.5
Altman Z-Score
Distress
—
Industry rank
—
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →211 stocks currently score above 75
Price targets
Analyst target
$53.82
+7.28%
12-Month target
$56.72
+13.06%
Intrinsic (DCF)
$26.87
Margin of safety
-68.44%
1 Strong Buy9 Buy3 Hold0 Sell0 Strong Sell
Price chart
Stock snapshot
Strengths
+ Free cash flow $422.00M — positive
+ Revenue growth 31.40% QoQ
+ Debt/equity 0.30x — low leverage
Risks
- Altman Z 1.52 — distress zone
- 68.44% above intrinsic value
Key financials
Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM | 2026 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.76B | $10.71B | $11.89B | $12.83B | $13.60B | $14.5B |
| Net income | $-123.00M | $-651.00M | $60.00M | $1.15B | $407.00M | — |
| EPS | — | — | — | — | $4.81 | $4.62 |
| Free cash flow | $342.00M | $-440.00M | $42.00M | $567.00M | $422.00M | — |
| Profit margin | -0.96% | -6.08% | 0.50% | 8.95% | 9.39% | — |
Recent insider activity
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | REED, MATTHEW T | Sale | 4,600 | $46.82 |
| 2026-05-08 | ROBERTS, JACKSON PRINCE | Buy | 2,532 | — |
| 2026-05-08 | ROBERTS, CAROL L | Buy | 2,532 | — |
Peer comparison
Smart narrative
Alcoa Corp trades at $50.17. representing a P/E of 9.41x trailing earnings. Our Smart Value Score of 76/100 indicates the stock is good. The company scores 4/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 1.52, it sits in the distress. TTM revenue stands at $13.60B. with profit margins at 9.39%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $26.87.
Frequently asked questions
What is Alcoa Corp's stock price?
Alcoa Corp (AA) trades at $50.17, on a P/E of 9.4x and a P/S of 0.9x. Those multiples show what the market is paying for each dollar of earnings and sales, which is the real starting point for judging whether the price is reasonable.
Is Alcoa Corp overvalued?
Alcoa Corp carries a Smart Value Score of 76/100 (Grade B+), which we rate Buy. That score blends growth, quality, and valuation into one read. On valuation specifically, our conservative DCF puts intrinsic value at $26.87 against the $50.17 price, so on cash flow terms the market is paying a premium for Alcoa Corp's growth. The Buy rating reflects that growth and quality, while the DCF flags that the price already assumes a lot.
What is the price target of Alcoa Corp (AA)?
The 12-month analyst consensus target is $53.82, about 7.3% above the current $50.17. A consensus target is the average of Wall Street's 12-month forecasts, so it works as a sentiment gauge rather than a guarantee, and it resets with every earnings cycle.
What is the future stock price of AA by 2030?
Our research-backed model puts the 2030 base case at $738.50, built from revenue projections, a growth-adjusted P/S multiple, net debt, and share dilution. It is a scenario rather than a prediction, and the bull and bear cases around it matter more than the single number when you are sizing a position.
What is the intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp (AA)?
Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $26.87, a -68.4% margin of safety versus today's $50.17. Intrinsic value is what the projected cash flows are worth today. A negative reading means the price is running ahead of that conservative estimate, leaving little downside cushion if growth slows.
What is Alcoa Corp's revenue?
Alcoa Corp's trailing twelve-month revenue is $13.60B, and our model projects it reaching about $16.42B by 2030. Revenue scale anchors the valuation multiples and shows whether growth is reaching the top line, so it is best read alongside margin and growth trends to see if that revenue is getting more profitable over time.
Altman Z-Score?
Alcoa Corp's Altman Z-Score is 1.52, which places it in the distress. The Altman Z-Score gauges bankruptcy risk from profitability, leverage, and asset efficiency, and a higher reading points to lower financial distress risk.
Company info
SectorBASIC MATERIALS
IndustryALUMINUM
CountryUSA
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
Quick metrics
P/S ratio0.88x
ROE17.33%
Beta1.63
50D MA$57.88
200D MA$56.09
Shares out0.26B
Float0.26B
Short ratio—
Avg volume5.8M
Performance
1 week+10.87%
1 month+3.00%
3 months-20.58%
YTD-5.57%
1 year+66.32%
3 years—
5 years—