AA
Alcoa Corp
NYSE: AA · BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM
$63.18
+0.86% today
Updated 2026-05-08
Market cap
$16.53B
P/E ratio
16.06
P/S ratio
1.31x
EPS (TTM)
$3.90
Dividend yield
0.63%
52W range
$26 – $76
Volume
5.7M
WallStSmart proprietary scores
49
out of 100
Grade: C
Sell
Investment rating
2.7
Growth
F5.3
Quality
C+6.5
Profitability
B4.7
Valuation
C5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Moderate
1.5
Altman Z-Score
Distress
—
Industry rank
—
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →195 stocks currently score above 75
Price targets
Analyst target
$75.02
+18.74%
12-Month target
$56.72
-10.22%
Intrinsic (DCF)
$61.46
Margin of safety
-2.75%
1 Strong Buy7 Buy4 Hold0 Sell2 Strong Sell
Price chart
Stock snapshot
Strengths
Insufficient data
Risks
- Altman Z 1.52 — distress zone
- Negative free cash flow $-298.00M
- Revenue declining -5.20% QoQ
Key financials
Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM | 2026 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.76B | $10.71B | $11.89B | $12.83B | $12.65B | $14.5B |
| Net income | $-123.00M | $-651.00M | $60.00M | $1.15B | $425.00M | — |
| EPS | — | — | — | — | $3.90 | $4.62 |
| Free cash flow | $342.00M | $-440.00M | $42.00M | $567.00M | $-298.00M | — |
| Profit margin | -0.96% | -6.08% | 0.50% | 8.95% | 8.17% | — |
Recent insider activity
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | OLSON, EMILY M. | Buy | 8,760 | — |
| 2026-02-23 | OPLINGER, WILLIAM F | Buy | 8,740 | — |
| 2026-02-23 | OPLINGER, WILLIAM F | Sale | 3,801 | $59.81 |
Peer comparison
Smart narrative
Alcoa Corp trades at $63.18. representing a P/E of 16.06x trailing earnings. Our Smart Value Score of 49/100 indicates the stock is fair. The company scores 5/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 1.52, it sits in the distress. TTM revenue stands at $12.65B. with profit margins at 8.17%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $61.46.
Frequently asked questions
What is Alcoa Corp's stock price?
Alcoa Corp (AA) trades at $63.18.
Is Alcoa Corp overvalued?
Smart Value Score 49/100 (Grade C, Sell). DCF value $61.46.
What is the price target of Alcoa Corp (AA)?
The analyst target price is $75.02, representing +18.7% upside from the current price of $63.18.
What is the intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp (AA)?
Based on our DCF model, intrinsic value is $61.46, a -2.8% margin of safety versus $63.18.
What is the future stock price of AA by 2030?
Our research-backed model estimates Alcoa Corp could reach $738.50 by 2030, based on analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.
What is Alcoa Corp's revenue?
TTM revenue is $12.65B.
Piotroski F-Score?
5/9 — moderate financial health.
Altman Z-Score?
1.52 — distress.
Company info
SectorBASIC MATERIALS
IndustryALUMINUM
CountryUSA
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
Quick metrics
P/S ratio1.31x
ROE15.40%
Beta1.51
50D MA$64.87
200D MA$48.28
Shares out0.26B
Float0.26B
Short ratio—
Avg volume5.7M
Performance
1 week+0.02%
1 month-14.51%
3 months+5.88%
YTD+17.88%
1 year—
3 years—
5 years—