Alcoa Corp (AA) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Alcoa Corp stock (AA) is currently trading at $58.70. Alcoa Corp PE ratio is 12.97. Alcoa Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.17. Analyst consensus price target for AA is $66.92. WallStSmart rates AA as Underperform.
- AA PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- AA PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- AA intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- AA stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- AA fair value vs current price
- AA insider transactions and insider buying
- Is AA undervalued or overvalued?
- Alcoa Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- AA Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- AA analyst price target and Smart Rating
Alcoa Corp
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AA Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Alcoa Corp (AA)
AA appears undervalued based on the Graham Formula, trading 15% below its estimated fair value of $74.46.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Alcoa Corp (AA) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Alcoa Corp (AA) Key Strengths (4)
84.14% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Paying $1.17 for every $1 of annual revenue
Solid profitability: $20 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Alcoa Corp (AA) Areas to Watch (6)
Revenue declining -1.10%, a shrinking business
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Modest earnings growth at 6.40%
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Fairly priced relative to book value
Alcoa Corp (AA) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.5/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, Price/Sales. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.17) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 19.70%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (8.36), Price/Book (2.42) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -1.10%, EPS Growth at 6.40%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 13.60%, Profit Margin at 9.02%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 19.70% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -1.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Market Cap) and negatives (Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
AA Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
AA's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.17x trades 82% above its historical average of 0.64x (93th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 15% below its historical high of 1.37x set in Mar 2022, and 872% above its historical low of 0.12x in Mar 2020. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~0.6x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Alcoa Corp (AA) · BASIC MATERIALS › ALUMINUM
The Big Picture
Alcoa Corp operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 12.8B with 1% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 9.0%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Generating 162M in free cash flow and 367M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Alcoa Corp push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.78, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Alcoa Corp.
Bottom Line
Alcoa Corp offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Alcoa Corp(AA)
NYSE
BASIC MATERIALS
ALUMINUM
USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.