Alcoa Corp (AA)vsCentury Aluminum Company (CENX)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$39.54
+2.92%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.61B
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$33.47
+11.31%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.43B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Alcoa Corp generates 437% more annual revenue ($14.31B vs $2.67B). CENX leads profitability with a 22.6% profit margin vs 10.7%. CENX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.06. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 84/100 (A-).
AA
Strong Buy78
out of 100
Grade: B+
CENX
Exceptional Buy84
out of 100
Grade: A-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-39.9%
Fair Value
$28.52
Current Price
$39.54
$11.02 premium
Margin of Safety
-74.1%
Fair Value
$30.69
Current Price
$33.47
$2.78 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 105.7% YoY
Revenue surging 23.7% year-over-year
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Earnings expanding 1010.0% YoY
Keeps 23 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 23.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.6% and operating margin at 28.1%. Revenue growth of 19.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Altman Z-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 2.08 — expect wider price swings.
AA is growing revenue faster at 23.7% — sustainability is the question.
AA generates stronger free cash flow (472M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CENX scores higher overall (84/100 vs 78/100), backed by strong 22.6% margins and 19.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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