Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$58.91
-2.76%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $6.00B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$67.43
-2.46%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $12.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Century Aluminum Company generates 818% more annual revenue ($2.53B vs $275.46M). CENX leads profitability with a 1.6% profit margin vs -31.2%. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 38/100 (F).
CENX
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-39.5%
Fair Value
$38.30
Current Price
$58.91
$20.61 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
0.4% revenue growth
ROE of 1.6% — below average capital efficiency
1.6% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 144.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX profiles as a value stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
CENX generates stronger free cash flow (-6M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CENX scores higher overall (38/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Compare with Other ALUMINUM Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?