Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$50.19
-0.08%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $4.97B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$53.74
+0.84%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.47B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Century Aluminum Company generates 818% more annual revenue ($2.53B vs $275.46M). CENX leads profitability with a 1.6% profit margin vs -31.2%. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 41/100 (D).
CENX
Hold41
out of 100
Grade: D
MP
Avoid29
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-1768.5%
Fair Value
$2.86
Current Price
$50.19
$47.33 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Revenue surging 40.0% year-over-year
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
ROE of 1.6% — below average capital efficiency
1.6% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Earnings declined 95.1%
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 40.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 119.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 2.12 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
CENX generates stronger free cash flow (68M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CENX scores higher overall (41/100 vs 29/100) and 40.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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