WallStSmart

Alcoa Corp (AA)vsKaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Alcoa Corp generates 229% more annual revenue ($13.60B vs $4.14B). AA leads profitability with a 9.4% profit margin vs 5.5%. KALU appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.17. KALU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 79/100 (B+).

AA

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.52

KALU

Strong Buy

79

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.0Value: 8.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.33
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AASignificantly Overvalued (-68.4%)

Margin of Safety

-68.4%

Fair Value

$26.87

Current Price

$50.17

$23.30 premium

UndervaluedFair: $26.87Overvalued
KALUUndervalued (+15.4%)

Margin of Safety

+15.4%

Fair Value

$171.07

Current Price

$184.75

$13.68 discount

UndervaluedFair: $171.07Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AA4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
31.4%10/10

Revenue surging 31.4% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
146.8%10/10

Earnings expanding 146.8% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

KALU3 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
52.7%10/10

Revenue surging 52.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
305.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 305.7% YoY

Areas to Watch

AA2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.524/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PEG RatioValuation
8.362/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

KALU2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.5%3/10

5.5% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.123/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AA

The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 31.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : KALU

The strongest argument for KALU centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 52.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.17 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AA

The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : KALU

The primary concerns for KALU are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.

KALU is growing revenue faster at 52.7% — sustainability is the question.

AA generates stronger free cash flow (422M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

KALU scores higher overall (79/100 vs 76/100) and 52.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alcoa Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation manufactures and sells specialty semi-finished aluminum mill products. The company is headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California.

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