WallStSmart

Alcoa Corp (AA)vsKaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Alcoa Corp generates 280% more annual revenue ($12.83B vs $3.37B). AA leads profitability with a 9.0% profit margin vs 3.3%. KALU appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.17. KALU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

AA

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.5Value: 6.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.52

KALU

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AAUndervalued (+15.2%)

Margin of Safety

+15.2%

Fair Value

$74.46

Current Price

$58.70

$15.76 discount

UndervaluedFair: $74.46Overvalued
KALUUndervalued (+54.3%)

Margin of Safety

+54.3%

Fair Value

$316.84

Current Price

$118.22

$198.62 discount

UndervaluedFair: $316.84Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AA2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
13.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

KALU4 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
17.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
21.4%8/10

Revenue surging 21.4% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
39.7%8/10

Earnings expanding 39.7% YoY

Areas to Watch

AA3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.524/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PEG RatioValuation
8.362/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.1%2/10

Revenue declined 1.1%

KALU3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Market CapQuality
$1.92B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

3.3% margin — thin

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-51.10M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AA

The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bull Case : KALU

The strongest argument for KALU centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 21.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.17 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AA

The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : KALU

The primary concerns for KALU are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Free Cash Flow. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AA profiles as a value stock while KALU is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.78 — expect wider price swings.

KALU is growing revenue faster at 21.4% — sustainability is the question.

AA generates stronger free cash flow (162M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

KALU scores higher overall (66/100 vs 53/100) and 21.4% revenue growth. AA offers better value entry with a 15.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alcoa Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation manufactures and sells specialty semi-finished aluminum mill products. The company is headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California.

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