Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Toll Brothers Inc stock (TOL) is currently trading at $132.00. Toll Brothers Inc PE ratio is 9.81. Toll Brothers Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.11. Analyst consensus price target for TOL is $172.75. WallStSmart rates TOL as Buy.
- TOL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- TOL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- TOL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- TOL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- TOL fair value vs current price
- TOL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is TOL undervalued or overvalued?
- Toll Brothers Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- TOL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- TOL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Toll Brothers Inc
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TOL Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)
TOL trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $629.93, offering a 74% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, price/sales. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Key Strengths (7)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
91.83% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Paying $1.11 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading at 1.54x book value, attractively priced
Strong earnings growth at 25.10% per year
Solid profitability: $17 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Areas to Watch (3)
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Solid revenue growth at 15.40% per year
Decent profitability, keeps $12 per $100 revenue
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 75/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 7 register as strengths (avg 8.6/10) while 3 fall into concern territory (avg 5.3/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.98), Price/Sales (1.11), Price/Book (1.54) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.00%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 25.10%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 15.40%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 10.80%, Profit Margin at 12.30%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 15.40% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
The combination of PEG Ratio and Institutional Own. makes a compelling case at current levels. The key risk is Operating Margin, but the overall fundamental picture is positive with a clear path to maintaining or improving the current B+ grade.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Compare TOL with Competitors
Top RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION stocks by market cap
Compare any two stocks →WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION
The Big Picture
Toll Brothers Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 11.3B with 15% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 12.3% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
ROE of 1700.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Free cash flow is -12M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Toll Brothers Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Toll Brothers Inc.
Bottom Line
Toll Brothers Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (15% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(38 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SHAPIRO, PAUL E Director | Sell | -73 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
GARVEY, CHRISTINE Director | Sell | -72 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:05:03 AM
About Toll Brothers Inc(TOL)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION
USA
Toll Brothers, Inc. designs, builds, markets, sells and manages the financing of a variety of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Horsham, Pennsylvania.