Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Papa John's International Inc stock (PZZA) is currently trading at $33.12. Papa John's International Inc PE ratio is 36.80. Papa John's International Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.53. Analyst consensus price target for PZZA is $37.91. WallStSmart rates PZZA as Sell.
- PZZA PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- PZZA PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- PZZA intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- PZZA stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- PZZA fair value vs current price
- PZZA insider transactions and insider buying
- Is PZZA undervalued or overvalued?
- Papa John's International Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- PZZA Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- PZZA analyst price target and Smart Rating
Papa John's International Inc
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PZZA Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Papa John's International Inc (PZZA)
PZZA trades 456% above its Graham fair value of $6.12, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.
Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) Key Strengths (2)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
107.17% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Supporting Valuation Data
Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) Areas to Watch (7)
Revenue declining -6.10%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -53.50%, profits shrinking
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Very expensive at 284.2x book value
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Supporting Valuation Data
Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 34/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.1/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.53) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.12), Price/Book (284.18) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -6.10%, EPS Growth at -53.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 6.78%, Profit Margin at 1.49%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Operating Margin at 6.78% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -6.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Revenue Growth and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
PZZA Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
PZZA's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.53x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 1.07x (2th percentile). The current valuation is 76% below its historical high of 2.2x set in Dec 2013, and 8% above its historical low of 0.49x in Mar 2026.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Papa John's International Inc (PZZA) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › RESTAURANTS
The Big Picture
Papa John's International Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 2.1B with 6% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 1.5%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Generating 6M in free cash flow and 20M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 6% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Papa John's International Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 5.3%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Papa John's International Inc.
Bottom Line
Papa John's International Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(21 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
OYLER, CAROLINE MILLER Chief Administrative Officer | Sell | -252 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 2:34:47 PM
About Papa John's International Inc(PZZA)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
RESTAURANTS
USA
Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and take-out restaurants under the Papa John's trademark in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.