Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp stock (GO) is currently trading at $6.54. Grocery Outlet Holding Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.12. Analyst consensus price target for GO is $7.62. WallStSmart rates GO as Sell.
- GO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- GO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- GO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- GO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- GO fair value vs current price
- GO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is GO undervalued or overvalued?
- Grocery Outlet Holding Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- GO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- GO analyst price target and Smart Rating
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
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Smart Analysis
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Key Strengths (3)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
131.02% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Supporting Valuation Data
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Earnings declining -50.70%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Solid revenue growth at 10.70% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 43/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.12), Price/Book (0.58) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 10.70%, EPS Growth at -50.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -20.60%, Operating Margin at 2.06%, Profit Margin at -4.80%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -20.60% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 10.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
GO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
GO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.12x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 0.85x (0th percentile). The current valuation is 93% below its historical high of 1.74x set in Aug 2019, and 1% above its historical low of 0.12x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.3x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › GROCERY STORES
The Big Picture
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 4.7B with 11% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -4.8% profit margin.
Key Findings
Generating 6M in free cash flow and 90M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
The company is unprofitable with a -4.8% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
Earnings fell 51% YoY while revenue grew 11%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Debt management: total debt of 1.8B is significantly higher than cash (52M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor GROCERY STORES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Bottom Line
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp(GO)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
GROCERY STORES
USA
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.