WallStSmart

Velocity Financial Llc (VEL)vsWalker & Dunlop Inc (WD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Walker & Dunlop Inc generates 414% more annual revenue ($1.16B vs $225.61M). VEL leads profitability with a 46.6% profit margin vs 4.9%. VEL trades at a lower P/E of 6.3x. VEL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

VEL

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 8.3Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.48

WD

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

VELUndervalued (+84.7%)

Margin of Safety

+84.7%

Fair Value

$128.70

Current Price

$17.68

$111.02 discount

UndervaluedFair: $128.70Overvalued
WDSignificantly Overvalued (-21.1%)

Margin of Safety

-21.1%

Fair Value

$50.77

Current Price

$45.07

$5.70 premium

UndervaluedFair: $50.77Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

VEL5 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
6.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
46.6%10/10

Keeps 47 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
61.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 61.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
55.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 55.5% YoY

WD1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.9x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

VEL4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$681.12M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-4.4%2/10

Revenue declined 4.4%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-4.57M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.482/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

WD4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
27.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% revenue growth

Market CapQuality
$1.54B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
3.3%3/10

ROE of 3.3% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : VEL

The strongest argument for VEL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 46.6% and operating margin at 61.7%.

Bull Case : WD

The strongest argument for WD centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.25 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : VEL

The primary concerns for VEL are Market Cap, Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 9.70 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : WD

The primary concerns for WD are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Market Cap. Thin 4.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VEL profiles as a declining stock while WD is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

WD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.56 — expect wider price swings.

WD is growing revenue faster at 0.0% — sustainability is the question.

WD generates stronger free cash flow (796M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VEL scores higher overall (66/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 46.6% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Velocity Financial Llc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · MORTGAGE FINANCE · USA

Velocity Financial, Inc. is a real estate finance company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.

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Walker & Dunlop Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · MORTGAGE FINANCE · USA

Walker & Dunlop, Inc. originates, sells and services a variety of commercial and multifamily real estate financing products and services for real estate owners and developers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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