WallStSmart

PACCAR Inc (PCAR)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 95% more annual revenue ($54.21B vs $27.82B). ZTO leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 9.0%. PCAR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.00. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (B+).

PCAR

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 5.3Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 2.57

ZTO

Strong Buy

80

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.7Profit: 7.5Value: 8.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.42
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PCARSignificantly Overvalued (-43.2%)

Margin of Safety

-43.2%

Fair Value

$85.69

Current Price

$122.73

$37.04 premium

UndervaluedFair: $85.69Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+65.7%)

Margin of Safety

+65.7%

Fair Value

$72.52

Current Price

$20.61

$51.91 discount

UndervaluedFair: $72.52Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PCAR2 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Market CapQuality
$64.60B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

PEG RatioValuation
1.008/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

ZTO6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
58.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 58.1% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.2%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.0%8/10

Revenue surging 23.0% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

PCAR4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
25.8x4/10

Moderate valuation

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.5%4/10

0.5% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
4.2%4/10

4.2% earnings growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PCAR

The strongest argument for PCAR centers on Market Cap, PEG Ratio. PEG of 1.00 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 22.2%. Revenue growth of 23.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : PCAR

The primary concerns for PCAR are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PCAR profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

PCAR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.97 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 23.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (1.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (80/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 23.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

PACCAR Inc

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

PACCAR Inc is an American Fortune 500 company and counts among the largest manufacturers of medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the world. PACCAR is engaged in the design, manufacture and customer support of light-, medium- and heavy-duty trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, Leyland Trucks, and DAF nameplates. PACCAR also designs and manufactures powertrains, provides financial services and information technology, and distributes truck parts related to its principal business.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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