PACCAR Inc (PCAR)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
PCAR
PACCAR Inc
$118.14
-1.23%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $62.52B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$25.37
-0.98%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.46B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 77% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $27.78B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 8.9%. PCAR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
PCAR
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
ZTO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-24.7%
Fair Value
$103.83
Current Price
$118.14
$14.31 premium
Margin of Safety
+81.2%
Fair Value
$132.23
Current Price
$25.37
$106.86 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Generating 12.0B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
Weak financial health signals
Revenue declined 8.9%
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : PCAR
The strongest argument for PCAR centers on Market Cap. PEG of 1.18 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : PCAR
The primary concerns for PCAR are P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
PCAR profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
PCAR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
PACCAR Inc
INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA
PACCAR Inc is an American Fortune 500 company and counts among the largest manufacturers of medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the world. PACCAR is engaged in the design, manufacture and customer support of light-, medium- and heavy-duty trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, Leyland Trucks, and DAF nameplates. PACCAR also designs and manufactures powertrains, provides financial services and information technology, and distributes truck parts related to its principal business.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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