WallStSmart

CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 185% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $18.09B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 2.1%. CNH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.61. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

CNH

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 4.0Value: 5.7Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.89

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CNH.

ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNH2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.618/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CNH4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
33.6x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.894/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Return on EquityProfitability
5.0%3/10

ROE of 5.0% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
2.1%3/10

2.1% margin — thin

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNH

The strongest argument for CNH centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.61 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CNH

The primary concerns for CNH are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 3.37 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNH profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNH carries more volatility with a beta of 1.23 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CNH Industrial N.V.

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

CNH Industrial N.V., an equipment and services company, engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, and financing of agricultural and construction equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is headquartered in Basildon, the United Kingdom.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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