CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V.
$10.08
+0.40%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $12.51B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$25.37
-0.98%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.46B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 171% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $18.09B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 2.8%. CNH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.57. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
CNH
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
ZTO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+45.2%
Fair Value
$23.36
Current Price
$10.08
$13.28 discount
Margin of Safety
+81.2%
Fair Value
$132.23
Current Price
$25.37
$106.86 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 12.0B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of 6.5% — below average capital efficiency
2.8% margin — thin
Operating margin of 1.9%
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CNH
The strongest argument for CNH centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.57 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CNH
The primary concerns for CNH are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CNH profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
CNH carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 57/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. CNH offers better value entry with a 45.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CNH Industrial N.V.
INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA
CNH Industrial N.V., an equipment and services company, engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, and financing of agricultural and construction equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is headquartered in Basildon, the United Kingdom.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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