WallStSmart

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 424% more annual revenue ($54.21B vs $10.35B). ZTO leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 5.2%. AGCO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.96. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

AGCO

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 7.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.26

ZTO

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.7Profit: 7.5Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.42
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for AGCO.

ZTOUndervalued (+65.7%)

Margin of Safety

+65.7%

Fair Value

$72.49

Current Price

$19.75

$52.74 discount

UndervaluedFair: $72.49Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGCO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0310/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.968/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
14.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ZTO6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
58.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 58.1% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.2%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.0%8/10

Revenue surging 23.0% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

AGCO3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.2%3/10

5.2% margin — thin

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.0%2/10

Revenue declined 1.0%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-74.4%2/10

Earnings declined 74.4%

ZTO1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.964/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGCO

The strongest argument for AGCO centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.96 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 22.2%. Revenue growth of 23.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AGCO

The primary concerns for AGCO are Profit Margin, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : ZTO

The primary concerns for ZTO are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AGCO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.07 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 23.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (1.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (78/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 23.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AGCO Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and related spare parts worldwide. The company is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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