WallStSmart

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 396% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $10.37B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 7.4%. AGCO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.12. AGCO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).

AGCO

Strong Buy

71

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 6.0Profit: 5.5Value: 7.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.26

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for AGCO.

ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGCO4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
441.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 441.9% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0310/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

AGCO3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Profit MarginProfitability
7.4%3/10

7.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

Operating margin of 3.9%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-455.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGCO

The strongest argument for AGCO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 14.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.12 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AGCO

The primary concerns for AGCO are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AGCO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.08 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AGCO scores higher overall (71/100 vs 70/100) and 14.3% revenue growth. ZTO offers better value entry with a 64.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AGCO Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and related spare parts worldwide. The company is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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