WallStSmart

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC)vsRithm Capital Corp. (RITM)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Rithm Capital Corp. generates 23298% more annual revenue ($4.69B vs $20.04M). RITM leads profitability with a 10.6% profit margin vs -31.3%. RITM trades at a lower P/E of 14.7x. RITM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

ORC

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 8.3Profit: 4.0Value: 5.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 4/9

RITM

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.7Profit: 6.5Value: 7.7Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.40
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ORC.

RITMUndervalued (+84.4%)

Margin of Safety

+84.4%

Fair Value

$68.49

Current Price

$9.23

$59.26 discount

UndervaluedFair: $68.49Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ORC4 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.8x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
103.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 103.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
1003.0%10/10

Revenue surging 1003.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
794.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 794.0% YoY

RITM4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
39.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 39.5%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
39.4%10/10

Revenue surging 39.4% year-over-year

P/E RatioValuation
14.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

ORC4 concerns · Avg: 1.8/10
Market CapQuality
$926.36M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-0.5%2/10

ROE of -0.5% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
-31.3%1/10

Currently unprofitable

Debt/EquityHealth
8.841/10

Elevated debt levels

RITM4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.77B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.402/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
4.901/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ORC

The strongest argument for ORC centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 1003.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : RITM

The strongest argument for RITM centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 39.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ORC

The primary concerns for ORC are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 8.84 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : RITM

The primary concerns for RITM are Piotroski F-Score, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 4.90 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ORC profiles as a hypergrowth stock while RITM is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ORC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.60 — expect wider price swings.

ORC is growing revenue faster at 1003.0% — sustainability is the question.

ORC generates stronger free cash flow (65M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

RITM scores higher overall (67/100 vs 53/100) and 39.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Orchid Island Capital Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.

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Rithm Capital Corp.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Rhythm Capital Corp. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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