WallStSmart

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCN)vsOrchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AGNC Investment Corp. generates 1002% more annual revenue ($1.60B vs $145.60M). AGNCN leads profitability with a 91.7% profit margin vs 83.8%. ORC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).

AGNCN

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 6.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: -0.95

ORC

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 3/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AGNCNUndervalued (+19.9%)

Margin of Safety

+19.9%

Fair Value

$32.18

Current Price

$25.78

$6.40 discount

UndervaluedFair: $32.18Overvalued
ORCSignificantly Overvalued (-50.9%)

Margin of Safety

-50.9%

Fair Value

$4.97

Current Price

$7.05

$2.08 premium

UndervaluedFair: $4.97Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGNCN5 strengths · Avg: 9.6/10
Profit MarginProfitability
91.7%10/10

Keeps 92 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
129.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 129.8%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
546.0%10/10

Revenue surging 546.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
772.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 772.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ORC6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.9x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
83.8%10/10

Keeps 84 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
158.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 158.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
1003.0%10/10

Revenue surging 1003.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
794.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 794.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

AGNCN3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.952/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
8.211/10

Elevated debt levels

ORC3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$1.39B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Debt/EquityHealth
7.471/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGNCN

The strongest argument for AGNCN centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 91.7% and operating margin at 129.8%. Revenue growth of 546.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ORC

The strongest argument for ORC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 83.8% and operating margin at 158.9%. Revenue growth of 1003.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AGNCN

The primary concerns for AGNCN are Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 8.21 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ORC

The primary concerns for ORC are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 7.47 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ORC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.58 — expect wider price swings.

ORC is growing revenue faster at 1003.0% — sustainability is the question.

AGNCN generates stronger free cash flow (387M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor REIT - MORTGAGE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ORC scores higher overall (68/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 83.8% margins and 1003.0% revenue growth. AGNCN offers better value entry with a 19.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AGNC Investment Corp.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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Orchid Island Capital Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.

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