Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)vsWoodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)
NOG
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
$29.61
+1.68%
ENERGY · Cap: $3.09B
WDS
Woodside Energy Group Ltd
$23.66
-2.79%
ENERGY · Cap: $46.27B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Woodside Energy Group Ltd generates 561% more annual revenue ($12.98B vs $1.96B). WDS leads profitability with a 20.9% profit margin vs 2.0%. NOG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.56. NOG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
NOG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
WDS
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-903.0%
Fair Value
$2.65
Current Price
$29.61
$26.96 premium
Margin of Safety
-94.1%
Fair Value
$9.66
Current Price
$23.66
$14.00 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 56.1%
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
ROE of 1.7% — below average capital efficiency
2.0% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 17.1%
ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Revenue declined 11.1%
Earnings declined 14.4%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NOG
The strongest argument for NOG centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.56 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : WDS
The strongest argument for WDS centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.9% and operating margin at 19.1%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : NOG
The primary concerns for NOG are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 75.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : WDS
The primary concerns for WDS are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NOG profiles as a value stock while WDS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
NOG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.01 — expect wider price swings.
WDS is growing revenue faster at -11.1% — sustainability is the question.
WDS generates stronger free cash flow (417M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NOG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
Woodside Energy Group Ltd
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Woodside Energy Group Ltd is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing and sale of hydrocarbons in Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa and internationally. The company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
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