Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)vsOccidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
NOG
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
$20.98
-4.11%
ENERGY · Cap: $2.26B
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
$58.65
-3.70%
ENERGY · Cap: $58.77B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Occidental Petroleum Corporation generates 997% more annual revenue ($21.12B vs $1.93B). OXY leads profitability with a 22.4% profit margin vs -32.4%. NOG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.56. OXY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).
NOG
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
OXY
Strong Buy65
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+90.0%
Fair Value
$264.48
Current Price
$20.98
$243.50 discount
Margin of Safety
+3.5%
Fair Value
$59.00
Current Price
$58.65
$0.35 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 315.6% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
ROE of -29.8% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 7.1%
Earnings declined 26.5%
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 8.3%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NOG
The strongest argument for NOG centers on Price/Book, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.56 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : OXY
The strongest argument for OXY centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.4% and operating margin at 17.7%. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : NOG
The primary concerns for NOG are Debt/Equity, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : OXY
The primary concerns for OXY are Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth. A P/E of 79.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NOG profiles as a turnaround stock while OXY is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
NOG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.69 — expect wider price swings.
NOG is growing revenue faster at -7.1% — sustainability is the question.
OXY generates stronger free cash flow (-298M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
OXY scores higher overall (65/100 vs 43/100), backed by strong 22.4% margins. NOG offers better value entry with a 90.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States, the Middle East, and Colombia as well as petrochemical manufacturing in the United States, Canada, and Chile.
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