WallStSmart

Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG)vsNorthern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Diamondback Energy Inc generates 628% more annual revenue ($14.29B vs $1.96B). FANG leads profitability with a 11.6% profit margin vs 2.0%. NOG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.56. NOG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

FANG

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 4.0Value: 4.7Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 1.24

NOG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.7Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FANGSignificantly Overvalued (-29.4%)

Margin of Safety

-29.4%

Fair Value

$130.64

Current Price

$196.02

$65.38 premium

UndervaluedFair: $130.64Overvalued
NOGSignificantly Overvalued (-903.0%)

Margin of Safety

-903.0%

Fair Value

$2.65

Current Price

$29.61

$26.96 premium

UndervaluedFair: $2.65Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FANG3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$55.59B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.40B8/10

Generating 1.4B in free cash flow

NOG3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
56.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 56.1%

PEG RatioValuation
0.568/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

FANG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
34.4x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
3.7%3/10

ROE of 3.7% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
103.602/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

NOG4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
1.7%3/10

ROE of 1.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
2.0%3/10

2.0% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
75.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-17.1%2/10

Revenue declined 17.1%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FANG

The strongest argument for FANG centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.

Bull Case : NOG

The strongest argument for NOG centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.56 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : FANG

The primary concerns for FANG are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : NOG

The primary concerns for NOG are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 75.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FANG profiles as a declining stock while NOG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

NOG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.01 — expect wider price swings.

FANG is growing revenue faster at -9.4% — sustainability is the question.

FANG generates stronger free cash flow (1.4B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NOG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 45/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Diamondback Energy Inc

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Diamondback Energy is a company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and headquartered in Midland, Texas.

Northern Oil & Gas Inc

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

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