Hub Group Inc (HUBG)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
HUBG
Hub Group Inc
$36.04
+1.04%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.16B
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$100.28
+0.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $85.32B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 2312% more annual revenue ($89.93B vs $3.73B). UPS leads profitability with a 5.1% profit margin vs 2.8%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.42. UPS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).
HUBG
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C
UPS
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+3.2%
Fair Value
$43.92
Current Price
$36.04
$7.88 discount
Margin of Safety
+16.1%
Fair Value
$143.12
Current Price
$100.28
$42.84 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Earnings expanding 20.5% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency
2.8% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.2%
5.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 53.0%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HUBG
The strongest argument for HUBG centers on Price/Book, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 1.42 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : HUBG
The primary concerns for HUBG are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.90 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HUBG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.19 — expect wider price swings.
UPS is growing revenue faster at 7.6% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
UPS scores higher overall (57/100 vs 55/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Hub Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Hub Group, Inc., a light asset freight management company, provides intermodal services, truck brokerage, trucking, managed transportation, cargo consolidation, warehousing, last mile delivery, international transportation, and other freight services. logistics in North America. The company is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.
United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
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