Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)vsMGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI)
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc
$97.11
+1.47%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $18.88B
MGPI
MGP Ingredients Inc
$19.94
+4.07%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $432.73M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Dollar Tree Inc generates 3519% more annual revenue ($19.41B vs $536.38M). DLTR leads profitability with a 6.6% profit margin vs -20.1%. DLTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.12. DLTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).
DLTR
Strong Buy65
out of 100
Grade: B-
MGPI
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+26.4%
Fair Value
$169.84
Current Price
$97.11
$72.73 discount
Margin of Safety
+27.9%
Fair Value
$36.31
Current Price
$19.94
$16.37 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
6.6% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -13.9% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 23.5%
Earnings declined 33.6%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DLTR
The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.12 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MGPI
The strongest argument for MGPI centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.13 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : DLTR
The primary concerns for DLTR are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.51 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : MGPI
The primary concerns for MGPI are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
DLTR profiles as a value stock while MGPI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
DLTR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.74 — expect wider price swings.
DLTR is growing revenue faster at 9.0% — sustainability is the question.
DLTR generates stronger free cash flow (970M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
DLTR scores higher overall (65/100 vs 48/100). MGPI offers better value entry with a 27.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Visit Website →MGP Ingredients Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES · USA
MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits and specialty wheat proteins and starch food ingredients. The company is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.
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