Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)vsMGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI)
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc
$108.80
-0.43%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $21.91B
MGPI
MGP Ingredients Inc
$16.51
+1.48%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $352.63M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Dollar Tree Inc generates 3689% more annual revenue ($19.75B vs $521.15M). DLTR leads profitability with a 6.5% profit margin vs -46.0%. MGPI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.15. DLTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).
DLTR
Buy59
out of 100
Grade: C
MGPI
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+17.6%
Fair Value
$151.64
Current Price
$108.80
$42.84 discount
Margin of Safety
+10.6%
Fair Value
$29.26
Current Price
$16.51
$12.75 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
6.5% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -41.2% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DLTR
The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity. PEG of 1.43 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MGPI
The strongest argument for MGPI centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.15 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : DLTR
The primary concerns for DLTR are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : MGPI
The primary concerns for MGPI are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
DLTR profiles as a value stock while MGPI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
DLTR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.66 — expect wider price swings.
DLTR is growing revenue faster at 7.2% — sustainability is the question.
DLTR generates stronger free cash flow (392M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
DLTR scores higher overall (59/100 vs 46/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Visit Website →MGP Ingredients Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES · USA
MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits and specialty wheat proteins and starch food ingredients. The company is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.
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