WallStSmart

Dollar General Corporation (DG)vsMGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Dollar General Corporation generates 7865% more annual revenue ($42.72B vs $536.38M). DG leads profitability with a 3.5% profit margin vs -20.1%. MGPI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.13. DG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).

DG

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 8.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.00

MGPI

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 4.0Value: 6.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

DGUndervalued (+31.8%)

Margin of Safety

+31.8%

Fair Value

$215.69

Current Price

$115.88

$99.81 discount

UndervaluedFair: $215.69Overvalued
MGPIUndervalued (+27.9%)

Margin of Safety

+27.9%

Fair Value

$36.31

Current Price

$19.94

$16.37 discount

UndervaluedFair: $36.31Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

DG4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
121.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 121.9% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
16.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
3.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.27B8/10

Generating 1.3B in free cash flow

MGPI1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.6x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

DG2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

3.5% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
2.021/10

Elevated debt levels

MGPI4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$432.73M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-13.9%2/10

ROE of -13.9% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-23.5%2/10

Revenue declined 23.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-33.6%2/10

Earnings declined 33.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : DG

The strongest argument for DG centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : MGPI

The strongest argument for MGPI centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.13 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : DG

The primary concerns for DG are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : MGPI

The primary concerns for MGPI are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

DG profiles as a value stock while MGPI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

MGPI carries more volatility with a beta of 0.45 — expect wider price swings.

DG is growing revenue faster at 5.9% — sustainability is the question.

DG generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

DG scores higher overall (65/100 vs 48/100). MGPI offers better value entry with a 27.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Dollar General Corporation

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Dollar General Corporation is an American chain of variety stores headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.

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MGP Ingredients Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES · USA

MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits and specialty wheat proteins and starch food ingredients. The company is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.

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