WallStSmart

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Dollar Tree Inc stock (DLTR) is currently trading at $105.92. Dollar Tree Inc PE ratio is 20.35. Dollar Tree Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.16. Analyst consensus price target for DLTR is $126.30. WallStSmart rates DLTR as Hold.

  • DLTR PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • DLTR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • DLTR intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • DLTR stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • DLTR fair value vs current price
  • DLTR insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is DLTR undervalued or overvalued?
  • Dollar Tree Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • DLTR Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • DLTR analyst price target and Smart Rating
DLTR

Dollar Tree Inc

NASDAQCONSUMER DEFENSIVE
$105.92
$0.36 (0.34%)
52W$61.87
$142.40
Target$126.30+19.2%

📊 No data available

Try selecting a different time range

IV

DLTR Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

Margin of Safety
+0.4%
Fair Value
DLTR Fair Value
$125.45
Graham Formula
Current Price
$105.92
$19.53 below fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $125.45
Overvalued
Price $105.92
Graham IV $125.45
Analyst $126.30

DLTR is trading near its Graham intrinsic value of $125.45, suggesting the stock is reasonably priced at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

56
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, return on equity. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Key Strengths (5)

Avg Score: 8.8/10
Institutional Own.Quality
109.10%10/10

109.10% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$21.92B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

Return on EquityProfitability
20.10%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates $20 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
1.128/10

Good growth relative to its price

Price/SalesValuation
1.168/10

Paying $1.16 for every $1 of annual revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
1.156
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.544
Undervalued

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 2.8/10
Profit MarginProfitability
-15.40%0/10

Company is losing money with a negative profit margin

Operating MarginProfitability
6.73%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Price/BookValuation
6.412/10

Very expensive at 6.4x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
9.40%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 9.40%

EPS GrowthGrowth
10.60%6/10

Solid earnings growth at 10.60%

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, Return on Equity. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.12), Price/Sales (1.16) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 20.10%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (6.41) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 9.40%, EPS Growth at 10.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 6.73%, Profit Margin at -15.40%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Profit Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 20.10% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 9.40% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Market Cap) and negatives (Profit Margin, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

Compare DLTR with Competitors

Top DISCOUNT STORES stocks by market cap

Compare any two stocks →

WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVEDISCOUNT STORES

The Big Picture

Dollar Tree Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 19.0B with 9% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -15.4% profit margin.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 2010.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 592M in free cash flow and 1.2B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Operating at a Loss

The company is unprofitable with a -15.4% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.

What to Watch Next

Debt management: total debt of 5.2B is significantly higher than cash (595M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Dollar Tree Inc.

Bottom Line

Dollar Tree Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(6 last 3 months)

Total Buys
2
Total Sells
4
Jan 7, 2026(1 transaction)
AFLATOONI, ROBERT
Chief Information Officer
Sell
Shares
-175

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 8:25:09 AM

About Dollar Tree Inc(DLTR)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE

Industry

DISCOUNT STORES

Country

USA

Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Visit Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Website
500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE, VA, UNITED STATES, 23320