WallStSmart

Cosan SA ADR (CSAN)vsPhillips 66 (PSX)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Phillips 66 generates 238% more annual revenue ($134.49B vs $39.78B). PSX leads profitability with a 3.1% profit margin vs -23.9%. PSX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

CSAN

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.59

PSX

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.20
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CSANUndervalued (+61.8%)

Margin of Safety

+61.8%

Fair Value

$13.16

Current Price

$2.79

$10.37 discount

UndervaluedFair: $13.16Overvalued
PSXSignificantly Overvalued (-65.2%)

Margin of Safety

-65.2%

Fair Value

$110.02

Current Price

$184.13

$74.11 premium

UndervaluedFair: $110.02Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CSAN2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
30.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 30.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.5%8/10

Revenue surging 26.5% year-over-year

PSX3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.2010/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$73.19B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

CSAN4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-29.9%2/10

ROE of -29.9% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.9%2/10

Earnings declined 56.9%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.41B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.592/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PSX4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.1%3/10

3.1% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
0.6%3/10

Operating margin of 0.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.8%2/10

Earnings declined 56.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-2.85B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CSAN

The strongest argument for CSAN centers on Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 26.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : PSX

The strongest argument for PSX centers on Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CSAN

The primary concerns for CSAN are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 18.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : PSX

The primary concerns for PSX are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Thin 3.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CSAN profiles as a growth stock while PSX is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

PSX carries more volatility with a beta of 0.69 — expect wider price swings.

CSAN is growing revenue faster at 26.5% — sustainability is the question.

CSAN generates stronger free cash flow (-1.4B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PSX scores higher overall (54/100 vs 42/100). CSAN offers better value entry with a 61.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Cosan SA ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Cosan SA is mainly engaged in the fuel distribution business in Brazil, Europe, Latin America, North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

Phillips 66

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

The Phillips 66 Company is an American multinational energy company headquartered in Westchase, Houston, Texas.

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