WallStSmart

Cosan SA ADR (CSAN)vsMarathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Marathon Petroleum Corp generates 242% more annual revenue ($135.95B vs $39.78B). MPC leads profitability with a 3.4% profit margin vs -23.9%. MPC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

CSAN

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.59

MPC

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.0Value: 6.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.83
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CSANUndervalued (+61.8%)

Margin of Safety

+61.8%

Fair Value

$13.16

Current Price

$2.79

$10.37 discount

UndervaluedFair: $13.16Overvalued
MPCSignificantly Overvalued (-27.6%)

Margin of Safety

-27.6%

Fair Value

$163.47

Current Price

$262.01

$98.54 premium

UndervaluedFair: $163.47Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CSAN2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
30.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 30.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.5%8/10

Revenue surging 26.5% year-over-year

MPC5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
350.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 350.7% YoY

Market CapQuality
$76.80B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
27.6%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 28 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
1.008/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
17.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

CSAN4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-29.9%2/10

ROE of -29.9% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.9%2/10

Earnings declined 56.9%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.41B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.592/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

MPC3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.4%3/10

3.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

Operating margin of 3.6%

Debt/EquityHealth
2.051/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CSAN

The strongest argument for CSAN centers on Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 26.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MPC

The strongest argument for MPC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. PEG of 1.00 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CSAN

The primary concerns for CSAN are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 18.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : MPC

The primary concerns for MPC are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.05 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CSAN profiles as a growth stock while MPC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

CSAN carries more volatility with a beta of 0.60 — expect wider price swings.

CSAN is growing revenue faster at 26.5% — sustainability is the question.

MPC generates stronger free cash flow (208M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MPC scores higher overall (69/100 vs 42/100). CSAN offers better value entry with a 61.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Cosan SA ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Cosan SA is mainly engaged in the fuel distribution business in Brazil, Europe, Latin America, North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

Marathon Petroleum Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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