WallStSmart

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)vsPhillips 66 (PSX)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Phillips 66 generates 1% more annual revenue ($134.49B vs $133.17B). PSX leads profitability with a 3.1% profit margin vs 3.0%. MPC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.95. MPC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).

MPC

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 8.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9

PSX

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.20
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPCUndervalued (+31.7%)

Margin of Safety

+31.7%

Fair Value

$305.66

Current Price

$252.54

$53.12 discount

UndervaluedFair: $305.66Overvalued
PSXUndervalued (+26.2%)

Margin of Safety

+26.2%

Fair Value

$218.92

Current Price

$178.47

$40.45 discount

UndervaluedFair: $218.92Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MPC5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
350.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 350.7% YoY

Market CapQuality
$72.49B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
24.2%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.958/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.89B8/10

Generating 1.9B in free cash flow

PSX4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.2010/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$71.55B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
17.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

MPC3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.0%3/10

3.0% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.363/10

Elevated debt levels

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Revenue declined 1.2%

PSX4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.1%3/10

3.1% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
0.6%3/10

Operating margin of 0.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.8%2/10

Earnings declined 56.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-2.85B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MPC

The strongest argument for MPC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.95 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PSX

The strongest argument for PSX centers on Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MPC

The primary concerns for MPC are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : PSX

The primary concerns for PSX are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Thin 3.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PSX carries more volatility with a beta of 0.69 — expect wider price swings.

PSX is growing revenue faster at 6.9% — sustainability is the question.

MPC generates stronger free cash flow (1.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

MPC scores higher overall (65/100 vs 54/100). PSX offers better value entry with a 26.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Marathon Petroleum Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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Phillips 66

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

The Phillips 66 Company is an American multinational energy company headquartered in Westchase, Houston, Texas.

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