Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsVista Oil Gas ADR (VIST)
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
$45.70
-2.80%
ENERGY · Cap: $98.47B
VIST
Vista Oil Gas ADR
$74.42
-2.74%
ENERGY · Cap: $8.04B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 1232% more annual revenue ($38.63B vs $2.90B). VIST leads profitability with a 25.7% profit margin vs 25.1%. VIST trades at a lower P/E of 10.5x. VIST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).
CNQ
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
VIST
Strong Buy68
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+45.4%
Fair Value
$83.74
Current Price
$45.70
$38.04 discount
Margin of Safety
-35.5%
Fair Value
$41.35
Current Price
$74.42
$33.07 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 97.3% year-over-year
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Keeps 26 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 24.9%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 1.2%
Earnings declined 45.3%
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CNQ
The strongest argument for CNQ centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.1% and operating margin at 21.8%.
Bull Case : VIST
The strongest argument for VIST centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.7% and operating margin at 24.9%. Revenue growth of 97.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CNQ
The primary concerns for CNQ are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : VIST
The primary concerns for VIST are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CNQ profiles as a declining stock while VIST is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.91 — expect wider price swings.
VIST is growing revenue faster at 97.3% — sustainability is the question.
CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (856M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
VIST scores higher overall (68/100 vs 58/100), backed by strong 25.7% margins and 97.3% revenue growth. CNQ offers better value entry with a 45.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Vista Oil Gas ADR
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Vista Oil & Gas, SAB de CV, is dedicated to the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
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