Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsSmurfit WestRock plc (SW)
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
$4.25
+2.16%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.54B
SW
Smurfit WestRock plc
$40.67
+2.03%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $20.90B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Smurfit WestRock plc generates 467% more annual revenue ($31.18B vs $5.50B). AMBP leads profitability with a 20.0% profit margin vs 2.2%. SW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
AMBP
Hold42
out of 100
Grade: D
SW
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for AMBP.
Margin of Safety
-456.2%
Fair Value
$9.04
Current Price
$40.67
$31.63 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Operating margin of 3.3%
ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
Moderate valuation
0.5% revenue growth
ROE of 3.9% — below average capital efficiency
2.2% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AMBP
The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.0% and operating margin at 3.3%. Revenue growth of 12.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SW
The strongest argument for SW centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.26 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AMBP
The primary concerns for AMBP are Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : SW
The primary concerns for SW are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity. Thin 2.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AMBP profiles as a mature stock while SW is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SW carries more volatility with a beta of 1.00 — expect wider price swings.
AMBP is growing revenue faster at 12.6% — sustainability is the question.
SW generates stronger free cash flow (612M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SW scores higher overall (54/100 vs 42/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, specializing in innovative designs for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. With a strategic network of production facilities across the globe, the company combines advanced manufacturing processes with a commitment to rapid responsiveness, ensuring high-quality products that meet a wide array of customer needs. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles uniquely positions it to benefit from the growing demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions, thereby presenting compelling growth opportunities and value creation for institutional investors.
Visit Website →Smurfit WestRock plc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Smurfit Westrock Plc, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in Ireland and internationally. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
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