Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsAmcor PLC (AMCR)
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
$4.63
-1.49%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.93B
AMCR
Amcor PLC
$41.90
-1.13%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $20.87B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Amcor PLC generates 292% more annual revenue ($23.51B vs $5.99B). AMCR leads profitability with a 4.7% profit margin vs 0.7%. AMCR trades at a lower P/E of 19.0x. AMCR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).
AMBP
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
AMCR
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-13.5%
Fair Value
$4.31
Current Price
$4.63
$0.32 premium
Margin of Safety
-88.8%
Fair Value
$26.53
Current Price
$41.90
$15.37 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
17.7% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 25.9% year-over-year
Generating 1.4B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
0.7% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
4.7% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Earnings declined 11.7%
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AMBP
The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 17.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : AMCR
The strongest argument for AMCR centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 25.9% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.04 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AMBP
The primary concerns for AMBP are Profit Margin, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. A P/E of 98.0x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : AMCR
The primary concerns for AMCR are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, EPS Growth. Thin 4.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AMCR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.59 — expect wider price swings.
AMCR is growing revenue faster at 25.9% — sustainability is the question.
AMCR generates stronger free cash flow (1.4B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
AMCR scores higher overall (60/100 vs 43/100) and 25.9% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, primarily for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. Leveraging an extensive network of state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities, the company is dedicated to producing innovative and high-quality packaging that meets the evolving needs of its diverse clientele. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and commitment to circular economy principles not only enhance its market position but also reflect a growing trend among consumers and businesses towards environmentally responsible practices, presenting significant growth potential and compelling investment opportunities for institutional investors.
Visit Website →Amcor PLC
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Amcor plc is an Australian-American, UK-domiciled packaging company. It develops and produces flexible packaging, rigid containers, specialty cartons, closures and services for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical-device, home and personal-care, and other products.
Visit Website →Compare with Other PACKAGING & CONTAINERS Stocks
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