WallStSmart

Packaging Corp of America (PKG)vsSmurfit WestRock plc (SW)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Smurfit WestRock plc generates 247% more annual revenue ($31.18B vs $8.99B). PKG leads profitability with a 8.6% profit margin vs 2.2%. SW appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.26. SW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

PKG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 1/9

SW

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PKGSignificantly Overvalued (-319.6%)

Margin of Safety

-319.6%

Fair Value

$58.28

Current Price

$213.36

$155.08 premium

UndervaluedFair: $58.28Overvalued
SWSignificantly Overvalued (-456.2%)

Margin of Safety

-456.2%

Fair Value

$9.04

Current Price

$40.67

$31.63 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.04Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PKG0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

SW2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.2610/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

PKG3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.634/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.5%2/10

Earnings declined 56.5%

SW4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
30.0x4/10

Moderate valuation

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.5%4/10

0.5% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
3.9%3/10

ROE of 3.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
2.2%3/10

2.2% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PKG

Revenue growth of 10.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SW

The strongest argument for SW centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.26 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PKG

The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : SW

The primary concerns for SW are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity. Thin 2.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

SW carries more volatility with a beta of 1.00 — expect wider price swings.

PKG is growing revenue faster at 10.1% — sustainability is the question.

SW generates stronger free cash flow (612M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PKG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 54/100) and 10.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Packaging Corp of America

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Visit Website →

Smurfit WestRock plc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Smurfit Westrock Plc, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in Ireland and internationally. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?