Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsBall Corporation (BALL)
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
$4.63
-1.49%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.93B
BALL
Ball Corporation
$60.15
-0.99%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $16.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Ball Corporation generates 139% more annual revenue ($14.33B vs $5.99B). BALL leads profitability with a 6.6% profit margin vs 0.7%. BALL trades at a lower P/E of 17.5x. BALL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
AMBP
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
BALL
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-13.5%
Fair Value
$4.31
Current Price
$4.63
$0.32 premium
Margin of Safety
+25.1%
Fair Value
$89.87
Current Price
$60.15
$29.72 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
17.7% revenue growth
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
19.7% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
0.7% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
6.6% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AMBP
The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 17.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : BALL
The strongest argument for BALL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 19.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AMBP
The primary concerns for AMBP are Profit Margin, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. A P/E of 98.0x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : BALL
The primary concerns for BALL are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BALL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.95 — expect wider price swings.
BALL is growing revenue faster at 19.7% — sustainability is the question.
BALL generates stronger free cash flow (467M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
BALL scores higher overall (63/100 vs 43/100) and 19.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, primarily for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. Leveraging an extensive network of state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities, the company is dedicated to producing innovative and high-quality packaging that meets the evolving needs of its diverse clientele. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and commitment to circular economy principles not only enhance its market position but also reflect a growing trend among consumers and businesses towards environmentally responsible practices, presenting significant growth potential and compelling investment opportunities for institutional investors.
Visit Website →Ball Corporation
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products to the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.
Visit Website →Compare with Other PACKAGING & CONTAINERS Stocks
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