WallStSmart

Amcor PLC (AMCR)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Amcor PLC generates 139% more annual revenue ($23.51B vs $9.82B). PKG leads profitability with a 7.4% profit margin vs 4.7%. AMCR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.04. PKG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

AMCR

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 5.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.16

PKG

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 2.34
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AMCRSignificantly Overvalued (-87.7%)

Margin of Safety

-87.7%

Fair Value

$26.68

Current Price

$44.87

$18.19 premium

UndervaluedFair: $26.68Overvalued
PKGSignificantly Overvalued (-81.6%)

Margin of Safety

-81.6%

Fair Value

$134.66

Current Price

$249.70

$115.04 premium

UndervaluedFair: $134.66Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMCR3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
25.9%8/10

Revenue surging 25.9% year-over-year

PKG0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

AMCR4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.7%3/10

4.7% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-11.7%2/10

Earnings declined 11.7%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-527.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.162/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PKG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.604/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
31.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Profit MarginProfitability
7.4%3/10

7.4% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMCR

The strongest argument for AMCR centers on Debt/Equity, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 25.9% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.04 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PKG

Revenue growth of 12.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AMCR

The primary concerns for AMCR are Profit Margin, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow. Thin 4.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : PKG

The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMCR profiles as a growth stock while PKG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.77 — expect wider price swings.

AMCR is growing revenue faster at 25.9% — sustainability is the question.

PKG generates stronger free cash flow (170M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AMCR scores higher overall (60/100 vs 60/100) and 25.9% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Amcor PLC

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Amcor plc is an Australian-American, UK-domiciled packaging company. It develops and produces flexible packaging, rigid containers, specialty cartons, closures and services for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical-device, home and personal-care, and other products.

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Packaging Corp of America

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.

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