American Airlines Group (AAL)vsCopa Holdings SA (CPA)
AAL
American Airlines Group
$17.87
+1.50%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $11.53B
CPA
Copa Holdings SA
$157.19
+0.34%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $6.41B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
American Airlines Group generates 1385% more annual revenue ($55.99B vs $3.77B). CPA leads profitability with a 18.8% profit margin vs 0.4%. AAL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.89. CPA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (A-).
AAL
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
CPA
Exceptional Buy80
out of 100
Grade: A-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+30.5%
Fair Value
$20.66
Current Price
$17.87
$2.79 discount
Margin of Safety
-6.3%
Fair Value
$141.61
Current Price
$157.19
$15.58 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Generating 3.4B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 24.6%
17.0% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency
0.4% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Weak financial health signals
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AAL
The strongest argument for AAL centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.89 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : CPA
The strongest argument for CPA centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.8% and operating margin at 24.6%. Revenue growth of 17.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AAL
The primary concerns for AAL are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 56.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : CPA
The primary concerns for CPA are Piotroski F-Score, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AAL profiles as a value stock while CPA is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
AAL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.36 — expect wider price swings.
CPA is growing revenue faster at 17.0% — sustainability is the question.
AAL generates stronger free cash flow (3.4B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CPA scores higher overall (80/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 18.8% margins and 17.0% revenue growth. AAL offers better value entry with a 30.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
American Airlines Group
INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA
American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Copa Holdings SA
INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA
Copa Holdings, SA, provides airline passenger and cargo services. The company is headquartered in Panama City, Panama.
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