WallStSmart

American Airlines Group (AAL)vsUnited Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

United Airlines Holdings Inc generates 8% more annual revenue ($62.90B vs $58.34B). UAL leads profitability with a 5.6% profit margin vs -0.6%. AAL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.09. UAL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).

AAL

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 3.5Value: 8.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.59

UAL

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.16
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AALUndervalued (+32.7%)

Margin of Safety

+32.7%

Fair Value

$21.33

Current Price

$13.01

$8.32 discount

UndervaluedFair: $21.33Overvalued
UALSignificantly Overvalued (-55.8%)

Margin of Safety

-55.8%

Fair Value

$68.74

Current Price

$109.82

$41.08 premium

UndervaluedFair: $68.74Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AAL3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0910/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Debt/EquityHealth
-9.0010/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.3%8/10

16.3% revenue growth

UAL4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
20.9%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.0%8/10

16.0% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

AAL4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.0%3/10

ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency

Operating MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

Operating margin of 2.8%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-88.2%2/10

Earnings declined 88.2%

UAL4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.6%3/10

5.6% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
6.502/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.2%2/10

Earnings declined 17.2%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.162/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AAL

The strongest argument for AAL centers on PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 16.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.09 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : UAL

The strongest argument for UAL centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AAL

The primary concerns for AAL are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : UAL

The primary concerns for UAL are Profit Margin, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AAL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.

AAL is growing revenue faster at 16.3% — sustainability is the question.

UAL generates stronger free cash flow (267M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AIRLINES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UAL scores higher overall (57/100 vs 46/100) and 16.0% revenue growth. AAL offers better value entry with a 32.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Airlines Group

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

American Airlines Group Inc. is an American publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.

United Airlines Holdings Inc

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (formerly known as United Continental Holdings, Inc., UAL Corporation, Allegis Corporation and founded originally as UAL, Inc.) is a publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in the Willis Tower in Chicago. UAH owns and operates United Airlines, Inc.

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