Alcoa Corp (AA)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$58.70
+3.56%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $14.96B
VALE
Vale SA ADR
$15.14
+1.82%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $64.24B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vale SA ADR generates 1565% more annual revenue ($213.59B vs $12.83B). AA leads profitability with a 9.0% profit margin vs 6.5%. AA appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 8.36. VALE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).
AA
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
VALE
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+15.2%
Fair Value
$74.46
Current Price
$58.70
$15.76 discount
Margin of Safety
-47.9%
Fair Value
$11.75
Current Price
$15.14
$3.39 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 27.6%
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 1.1%
Moderate valuation
0.5% revenue growth
ROE of 5.9% — below average capital efficiency
6.5% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : VALE
The strongest argument for VALE centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Operating Margin.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : VALE
The primary concerns for VALE are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.78 — expect wider price swings.
VALE is growing revenue faster at 0.5% — sustainability is the question.
VALE generates stronger free cash flow (723M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor ALUMINUM industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
VALE scores higher overall (55/100 vs 53/100). AA offers better value entry with a 15.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Vale SA ADR
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
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