Alcoa Corp (AA)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)
AA
Alcoa Corp
$50.17
+5.67%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $11.94B
VALE
Vale SA ADR
$14.71
-0.07%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $62.56B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vale SA ADR generates 1480% more annual revenue ($214.86B vs $13.60B). AA leads profitability with a 9.4% profit margin vs 7.3%. VALE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.34. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
AA
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
VALE
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-68.4%
Fair Value
$26.87
Current Price
$50.17
$23.30 premium
Margin of Safety
+76.7%
Fair Value
$74.65
Current Price
$14.71
$59.94 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 31.4% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 146.8% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Growing faster than its price suggests
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 28.1%
Earnings expanding 22.0% YoY
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
2.7% revenue growth
ROE of 7.6% — below average capital efficiency
7.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AA
The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 31.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : VALE
The strongest argument for VALE centers on PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 0.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : AA
The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : VALE
The primary concerns for VALE are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AA profiles as a hypergrowth stock while VALE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.
AA is growing revenue faster at 31.4% — sustainability is the question.
VALE generates stronger free cash flow (700M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
AA scores higher overall (76/100 vs 67/100) and 31.4% revenue growth. VALE offers better value entry with a 76.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alcoa Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Vale SA ADR
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
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