WallStSmart

Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vale SA ADR generates 8076% more annual revenue ($218.07B vs $2.67B). CENX leads profitability with a 22.6% profit margin vs 4.8%. CENX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.06. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 84/100 (A-).

CENX

Exceptional Buy

84

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 9.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.88

VALE

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.5Value: 8.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.13
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CENXSignificantly Overvalued (-74.1%)

Margin of Safety

-74.1%

Fair Value

$30.69

Current Price

$39.40

$8.71 premium

UndervaluedFair: $30.69Overvalued
VALEUndervalued (+76.7%)

Margin of Safety

+76.7%

Fair Value

$74.64

Current Price

$14.19

$60.45 discount

UndervaluedFair: $74.64Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CENX6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0610/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
6.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
32.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
1010.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1010.0% YoY

Profit MarginProfitability
22.6%9/10

Keeps 23 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VALE5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3110/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Market CapQuality
$61.58B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.0%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.0%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.24B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CENX1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.882/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

VALE4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
28.4x4/10

Moderate valuation

Return on EquityProfitability
5.3%3/10

ROE of 5.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

4.8% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CENX

The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.6% and operating margin at 28.1%. Revenue growth of 19.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VALE

The strongest argument for VALE centers on PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 0.31 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CENX

The primary concerns for CENX are Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : VALE

The primary concerns for VALE are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CENX profiles as a growth stock while VALE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.99 — expect wider price swings.

CENX is growing revenue faster at 19.7% — sustainability is the question.

VALE generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CENX scores higher overall (84/100 vs 57/100), backed by strong 22.6% margins and 19.7% revenue growth. VALE offers better value entry with a 76.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Century Aluminum Company

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Vale SA ADR

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

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